Comparisons between Money- and Time-Weighted Rate of Return
This article
is to compare and summarize the differences between “Money-weighted rate of return”
and “Time-weighted rate of
return”. Please refer to the videos for the basics.
From the
videos, the money-weighted rate of return is 12.7% while that of time-weighted
is 15%. Which one more accurate? Which one should be used?
Generally,
time-weighted rate of return should be used. This is because it measures the
growth rate of money in each period and then takes the average (geometric
mean). So, this is a measure of the real ability of a portfolio manager to grow
every $1 (and not affected by the client’s decision to draw or invest
money).
Then why money-weight
would give a lower rate of return? This is because it calculates IRR and there
is a large cash inflow right before the 2nd period (which has a lower
performance). You may think in this way: Calculating IRR is just to discount
all the cash flows so that their sum has zero net present value (NPV). If the
future cash flow has large value, you will get a large IRR because you need
larger IRR to discount. And, similarly, if it has small value, you will get a
small IRR.
Let’s exam this example. If the cash inflow at the beginning of the 2nd
period is +$100 and two years later there is an outflow of the money grown from
this $100, we have the following table:
|
Growth Rate in 2nd period |
Beginning of 2nd period |
Ending of 2nd period |
IRR |
|
0 |
100 |
-100 |
0 |
|
10% |
100 |
-110 |
10% |
|
20% |
100 |
-120 |
20% |
You can see
that the better the performance the 2nd period is (i.e. the larger
the differences between the beginning and ending of 2nd period is),
the larger is the IRR needed to discount the cash flows so that the NPV is
zero. Therefore, in our example, we have cash inflow at the beginning of the 2nd
period ($60 to buy a new stock) and the 2nd period has worse performance
than the first period, the IRR comes out to be less than the time-weighted
method.
So,
|
Cash flow at the beginning of a period |
Performance of that period |
Money Weighted > Time weighted? |
|
Inflow |
Good |
Yes |
|
Outflow |
Good |
No |
|
Inflow |
Bad |
No |
|
Outflow |
Bad |
Yes |
Finally, if a
manager has complete control over the cash flows, then it is more appropriate
to use money-weighted rate of return. This is because it is the manager’s
decision to make all those cash flows (not the clients), so this action should
also be taken to measure the ability of the manager. Money-weighted rate of
return is, thus, a better measurement.
[...] Comparisons between Money- and Time-Weighted Rate of Return [...]