Economic Growth

Economic Growth

 

 

Summaries

 

Labor Productivity: Real GDP per labor hour

 

Economic growth = % change in productivity

 

Incentive system for economic growth:

1)      Market => information for demand and supply

2)      Property right => save and investment

3)      Monetary Exchange => enable specialization

 

Factors drive economic growth:

 

  1. Investment in capital – physical capital per labor
  2. Investment in human capital
  3. Discovery of new technologies

 

Productivity Curves:

 

Plots of productivity (real GDP/labor-hour) vs capital/labor-hour for a given technology.

 

Law of diminishing Returns applies.

 

Technology growth shift curves upwards.

 

One-third rule: 1% change in capital labor-hour results in 1/3% change in productivity (real GDP/labor –hour)

 

How to increase productivity?

Encourage Savings (willing to reinvest)

Encourage Basic R&D (for technology advancement)

Encourage International Trades (specialization)

Encourage Education (capital investment)

 

Classical Growth Theory:

Not permanent economic growth; When productivity is more than the subsistence level (either through technology advancement or capital investment), there will be population boom (because real wage is more than the subsistence real wage (this is the basic assumption)); diminishing return of labor (In the 3rd axis other than the productivity curves?) (also capital / labor reduces?) and thus drops back to subsistence level.

 

Neo Classical Growth Theory:

Opportunity cost of women to work determines population.

Birth rate and death rate decrease with economic growth => population is independent of economic growth.

Technology is the drive of economic growth

Real rates of return – tangents of productivity curves

Target rate of return  (this is the basic assumption)

When growth stops, target rate of return = real rate of return

When real rate of return < target rate of return, saving reduces and growth stops

 

New Growth Theory

Knowledge is not subjected to the law of diminishing return (this the basic assumption)

Innovation (is discovered out of luck) => higher profits => competitions => low profits (drive another cycle of innovation) (this the basic assumption)

Knowledge if public goods

There is not mechanism to stop economic growth

Real interest rate is consistently above the target rate of return

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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