Skewness and Kurtosis
Skewness and kurtosis are simple statistical
concepts. In CFA Level 1, you probably don’t have to memorize the
equations. But please make sure you understand the concepts. Especially, how the
skewness and kurtosis are related to the returns.
The best way to memorize the meanings
of skewness and kurtosis is to compare it with the normal
distribution. And indeed, this is want skewness and kurtosis are meaningful to us (the candidates).
Skewness is a measure of symmetry. Compared
to a normal distribution (skewness = 0), a skewed-to-left
(negative skewed) distribution will have the peak at the right, while a
skewed-to-right (positive skewed) distribution will have the peak at the left!
This why skewness is confusing! If you are not
familiar with this, it is very easy for you to think that having a peak at the
left is skewed-to-left, which is wrong! (take a pen
and draw it!)
Kurtosis is a measure of the
“peaking” of a distribution compared to a normal distribution
(Kurtosis = 3). The larger the kurtosis, the more the peaking
of the distribution. If it is larger than 3, it is called Leptokurtic
and if it is smaller than 3, it is called Platykurtic.
Don’t know how to memorize these terms? Well, think of “L”
which has a long vertical line. Doesn’t it look like more peaking? So,
just remember the word starts with “L” has kurtosis > 3.
Traps and Tips:
E.g. If a portfolio return has
positive skew (skewness = 0.6), compared to normal
distribution, the portfolio has higher chance of extreme large gain. It also
has pretty frequent small loss. Are both statements correct?
Yes. Both are correct. With a
positive skew, the peak is at the left. There is a small tail going to the far
right, corresponding to extreme high gain. And it also has both frequent small
loss and gain, although small gain is more frequent than small loss.
[...] Skewness and Kurtosis [...]
“And it also has both frequent small loss and gain, although small gain is more frequent than small loss.”
Don’t understand above?
For normal distribution, the average (peak) is the average return. Loss (<0) is on the left side of the peak (and region between 0 and peak is gain, including small gain). If positively skewed, the peak moves to left and you can see now for return < the new peak, the curve overlap the old curve (overlap means not underlap). That part contains region 0 (including small gain). draw it and you will see small gain is more frequent than small loss.